A.I. BURNASYAN FMBC CLINICAL BULLETIN

ISSN 2782-6430 (print)

State Research Center −Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical
Center of Federal Medical Biological Agency

The journal is published in Russian.
Format – A4.
The periodicity of the journal is 4 times a year.

Issue №2 2025 год

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A.I. Burnasyan  FMBC clinical bulletin. 2025 № 2

A.S. Samoilov, V.V. Petrova, P.A. Shulepov, N.S. Bogoiavlenskikh, D.A. Sapov, T.А. Martynova

Forecast of Decline in Physical Performance of Elite Athletes

International Office, State Research Center – Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center  of Federal Medical Biological Agency, Moscow, Russiа

Contact person: Petrova Victoriya Victorovna: vpetrova@fmbcfmba.ru 

Abstract
In modern sports, maintaining high performance is a key factor in the success of athletes. However, intense training loads and high demands on physical fitness make athletes vulnerable to decreased performance, which can be caused by various factors, including somatic health, functional reserves and psychological state.

Traditional approaches to assessing performance are often based on general fitness indicators and physical tests, which may not take into account the individual health characteristics of an athlete and nosological units identified during an in-depth medical examination. So, it is very important to develop more accurate and individualized models for predicting a decrease in physical performance of an athlete.

This article presents the results of a test model for predicting a decrease in performance in 240 elite athletes of various sports groups: cyclic, complex-coordination, game sports and martial arts. Each group of sports included 60 male athletes, who were divided into main and control groups (30 people in each).

The purpose of this stage was to confirm the validity of this method, which allows coaches and medical workers to identify risk factors, maintain high performance of athletes and help them to achieve high sports results.

Keywords: predictive models, risk-based approach, elite athletes, medical and biological support, performance, efficiency

For citation: Samoilov A.S., Petrova V.V., Shulepov P.A., Bogoiavlenskikh N.S., Sapov D.A., Martynova T.А. Forecast of Decline in Physical Performance of Elite Athletes . A.I. Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center Clinical Bulletin. 2025.2:22-27(In Russian) DOI: 10.33266/2782-6430-2025-2-22-27

 

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Conflict of interest. The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Financing. The study had no sponsorship. 
Contribution. Article was prepared with equal participation of the authors.
Article received: 11.01.2025. Accepted for publication: 15.02.2025

© 2025 Scientific journal - "Clinical Bulletin of the FMBС im. A.I. Burnasyan"
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